Gold edges lower as investors weigh Fed rate signals

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
Gold edges lower as investors weigh Fed rate signals teaser image

Oct 20 (Reuters) - Gold edged lower on Tuesday as investors ‌weighed the likelihood of additional US interest rate hikes this year ahead of next week's Federal Reserve policy meeting.

Spot gold was down 0.3% at $4,125.90 per ounce by 02:05 p.m. EDT (1805 GMT). US gold futures ​for December delivery settled 0.4% lower at $4,142.60 per ounce.

"Inflation and the Fed's interest ​rates are the big stories that gold's fighting at the moment. US ⁠Treasuries do appear more favorable than gold as a safety asset for the moment," said ​Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at StoneX.

"$4,000 is a big level for (gold) to keep an ​eye on and see if it can hold. A lot of that, at the moment, is going to be dependent on what the Fed says," Haberkorn said.

The Fed raised interest rates by a quarter ​point in September, its first hike this year.

While recent comments from Fed officials signaling little urgency for ​further policy tightening have tempered expectations of a rate hike at the central bank's October 27-28 policy ‌meeting, ⁠traders see a 92% chance of a hike in December, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. 

FEDWATCH

Gold is still down about 26% from its record high of $5,594.82 in January and roughly 22% from levels at the start of the Iran war, when concerns over energy inflation reinforced bets on ​interest rate hikes.

Gold is ​traditionally seen as an ⁠inflation hedge, but it loses its appeal as a non-yielding asset in a high-interest-rate environment.

Investors are also watching next week's US Personal ​Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, for clues ​on whether ⁠inflation pressures remain persistent and how that could shape the rate outlook.

In Japan, central bank Governor Kazuo Ueda said underlying inflation was "quite close" to the 2% target, signaling scope for further rate ⁠hikes.

Among other ​metals, spot silver rose 1.4% to $57.86 per ounce, platinum ​gained 1% to $1,656.85 per ounce and palladium dropped 1.3% to $1,105.50 per ounce.

Reporting by Anushree Mukherjee and Vishak Mathew in ​Bengaluru, additional reporting by Noel John; Editing by Shailesh Kuber, Will Dunham and Jonathan Ananda

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