Gold rises as US-Iran peace optimism pulls oil prices lower

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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June 22 (Reuters) - Gold firmed on Monday, recovering from an over ‌one-week low hit in the previous session, as progress in U.S.–Iran peace talks weighed on oil prices and tempered some inflation concerns.

Spot gold rose 0.5% to $4,182.39 per ounce by 1:50 p.m. ET (1750 ​GMT). Prices touched their lowest since June 11 on Friday.

U.S. gold futures ​for August delivery settled 1% lower at $4,202.7 per ounce.

"Energy prices will remain ⁠a key short-term driver for the precious metal space," Saxo Bank analyst Ole ​Hansen said.

"We're seeing the ongoing bumpy talks in Switzerland between the U.S. and Iran still ​pointing towards a deal that basically would add fresh barrels of crude into the market," putting pressure on crude prices and helping gold, Hansen added.

U.S. Vice President JD Vance said talks with Iranian ​officials in Switzerland had laid a "good foundation" for a final peace deal, despite tensions ​over the Strait of Hormuz and Lebanon.

Brent crude futures fell more than 3% after the announcement.

On ‌the ⁠U.S. policy front, traders now see an 89% chance of a rate hike in December, up from 61% before the Federal Reserve's meeting last week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Nine of the Fed's 19 policymakers believe they will need to raise the policy ​rate this year.

Despite ​its reputation as a ⁠hedge against inflation, gold tends to lose appeal when interest rates rise, as the non-yielding asset becomes less attractive relative to ​interest-bearing investments.

Bank of America said in a note on Friday ​that its $6,000-per-ounce ⁠gold price target appears unlikely, as the market would need to fully price out rate hikes for such levels to be reached.

However, the original premise underpinning the bank's bullish gold ⁠call — ​unorthodox U.S. macro policy — remains intact, it added.

Among other ​metals, spot silver rose 0.5% to $65.21 per ounce, platinum gained 0.3% to $1,668.43, and palladium was down 0.1% ​at $1,256.68.

Reporting by Sukanya Mitra and Ashitha Shivaprasad in Bengaluru Editing by Leroy Leo and Vijay Kishore

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