Gold rebounds from six-month low but rate-hike fears cap gains

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
Gold rebounds from six-month low but rate-hike fears cap gains teaser image

June 11 (Reuters) - Gold prices rose on Thursday, rebounding from a ‌six-month low, as investors covered their short positions, though concerns around higher inflation and U.S. interest rates capped gains.

Spot gold rose 0.6% to $4,097.01 per ounce at 0836 GMT after hitting its lowest point since November ​21 earlier in the session.

U.S. gold futures for August delivery were down 0.4% ​at $4,118.

"Gold is clearly significantly oversold just now and it remains to be seen ⁠whether this is a recovery as such or simply short positions taking profit," independent ​analyst Ross Norman said.

On the geopolitical front, the U.S. and Iran traded attacks for a second straight ​day, with President Donald Trump vowing further strikes if Tehran does not immediately agree to a peace deal.

Spot gold has dropped more than 22% since the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran kicked off in late February, ​which was followed by a jump in oil prices.

Elevated crude oil prices can accelerate inflation ​and keep interest rates higher for longer. While gold is viewed as a hedge against inflation, higher ‌interest rates ⁠tend to weigh on the metal.

Data on Wednesday showed U.S. consumer inflation increased at its fastest pace in three years in May, boosted by surging prices for energy-related products.

The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady in Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed chair next week, ​with a majority of ​economists in a Reuters ⁠poll expecting interest rates to remain unchanged this year.

However, traders are currently pricing a 67% chance of a U.S. rate hike in December, ​according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.

FEDWATCH

"The market now firmly expects ​the Fed ⁠to raise interest rates before the end of the year," Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch said. "If next week's meeting does not signal an upcoming increase in interest rates, the price of gold could ⁠start to ​recover."

Investors now await the May producer price index reading ​due at 1230 GMT to gauge the Fed's monetary policy stance.

Spot silver rose 1.3% to $64.49 per ounce, platinum gained ​0.8% to $1,678.08 and palladium climbed 3% to $1,249.58.

Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru; Editing by Thomas Derpinghaus

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